After the completion of the second phase of polling on Friday with nearly 60 percent polling, campaigning for the third phase has started gaining momentum of the Karnataka Assembly elections.
As per the NDTV's so far conducted exit polls, the chances for Bhartiya Janata Party overcoming again as the largest party appear to be imminent. But uncertainties are still hovering over Karnataka whether it will get a majority government or again the coalition.
The exit poll conducted by some of the news channels also point out the question how far their survey is to be believed. Are their surveys a reality or illusion?
Although much of the time has been expired now for all the political parties to enhance their effort for wooing the voters, but some sort of time is still left for them as the third and final phase of Assembly polls has to undergo on May 22 for the rest 69 constituencies spreading across 8 districts.
Prior to commencing of the polls, an expert team from Loyola College, Chennai conducted its exit poll survey. The outcome of the exit poll again indicated hung assembly in Karnataka with 75 to 80 seats to BJP, nearly 55 seats to the Congress and 25 seats in the pocket of JD (S). Remaining 20 seats according to the exit poll were to be shared by the independents.
According to NDTV exit poll survey estimated about second phase of Assembly poll, the BJP is going to emerge again as the dominating party with 32-42 seats off 66 seats followed by the second strongest Congress with 15-20 and JD (S) claiming 8-12 seats.
The second phase as per the exit poll declared 3 percent increase in the BJP seat as compared to the 2004 second phase of Assembly poll. While the Congress and the JD (S) dipped with mere 1 percent, which is not a big deal.
Overall covering both the first and second phase of Assembly polls of 155 seats, the BJP has been projected to get 73 seats, the Congress 45 and the JD (S) 42 seats.
The exit poll data could be frustrating for some political parties, but the history accounts outcome of the elections many times has been reverted. In 2004 general elections, the exit poll had declared sweeping victory by the saffron party. But, what happened, all of us knows that.
The third phase of polling covering 69 seats will be held in 8 districts scheduled for May 22.
As per the election watchers, the third phase of poll will be decisive as the constituencies are located in Northern Karnataka dominated by the Congress and JD-S too, has been gaining prominence owing to the Vokkaliga-Veerashaiva understanding.
The result of exit poll can not be taken as the ground for declaring the winner, but after looking all factors “hung assembly” again seems to be a certainty. Hung Assembly is the situation, when no political party after an election acquires an overall majority.
Several prominent leaders are visiting the state for campaigning for the final, but decisive phase. Congress president Sonia Gandhi will also address a public meeting at Hubli.
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